WHO OR WHAT CAN STOP IRAN?
Turkish foreign minister Ahmet Davutoglu had 25 hours of negotiations with his Iranian counterparts in Tehran during his visit that lasted 30 hours.Turkey’s message was clear: Don’t pursue a policy based on sect in the region. In a more clear way the message was: Don’t give so much support to Nuri Al Maliki in Baghdad and Bessar Al Assad in Damascus.
Iran has been enjoying a spectacular explosion of self-confidence since the invasion of Iraq by the US. Iran is the most influential factor in the decision making mechanisms.In Baghdad, there is a prime minister whose stings in the hands of Tehran.
The fact that Zionist neocons that served Iraq to Iran in golden plate has been noted as a ‘strategic blindness’ in the history of diplomacy.
Shia Prime Minister Maliki behaves like an elephant in a glass shop in Baghdad with the support he gets from Iran. He is pushing Sunni politicians ,starting from Iraq’s Sunni vice president Tarik al Hashimi out of the political system. In the hours that Ahmet Davutoglu started his contacts in Tehran, Sunni ministers have started to resigned to protest Maliki’s stance against the Sunnis. Maliki didn’t hesitate to replace them with the new ones. Fortunately, and also probably, with the recommendation from Tehran, Sunni ministers were convinced to remain their seats, at least for the time being. But again, Sunni vice president is now in Kurdish region, nearly in exile there. He will be taken to the court for terrorism charges in Baghdad.
Bessar Assad in Syria has continued to murder more than four thousand people, with the trust he got from the support of Tehran in the last six months.
Ahmet Davutoglu says, ‘a country like Iran that has a rooted tradition cannot act only on sectarian reflex.’ It is true. But it is also a fact that acting on sectarian reflex brought that country many advantages recently.
It seems that no strategic mindset that will approach to Turkey’s advices with a positive attitude prevails now in Iran that came to the prominence as a regional power that directs the latest developments in Iraq and supports the regime in Damascus. It is a strong possibility that Turkey’s advices went in Iran’s one ear and got out of the other
Iran is not a country that can be disciplined by threats like sanctions or interventions. International system should have understood it long ago. Especially at a time when Russians eagerly waiting for a possible increase of energy prices because of the tensions in the Gulf.
Only thing that can bring the Iranian officials to reasonable point is to understand that they cannot continue to protect Bashar Assad in Damascus. However, that just does not seem happening in sometime soon.